Cassandria · Laboratory
// The laboratory · process onlyHow the forecasts are put on trial
Since July 2026 every forecast is sealed in an append-only ledger before its cutoff. On 8 October 2026 the ledger is graded in public against what actually happened. This page shows the process — never a value that history has not yet judged.
The only fields shown before resolution (Research Firewall FW-002). Forecast values — country target, direction, probability, ranking, alert — are withheld by construction.
| cycle_id | round4_3 |
| cutoff | first resolutions 30 Jul 2026 · public verdict 8 Oct 2026 07:30 UTC |
| hash | 4a55f42bd1ed38e4b1bf8eb9b3df23e4b21f7cd9ee6221a349491699034ecc64 |
| methodology | six layers → one 0–100 score, sealed pre-cutoff; graded in public post-resolution |
| aggregate_coverage | 206 states encoded on one scale (descriptive) |
| status | RESEARCH_ONLY_NO_LIVE_VALUES |
Check it yourself
When a cycle is published, its seal is a SHA-256 hash. To verify a document you were given against a published hash:
sha256sum cassandria_cycle_<id>.json
# compare the output to the published "hash" above — they must match, byte for byte.Reveals become content
From 8 October (and at every resolution) the reveals are published: what was sealed, what happened, and how it was graded — including the misses. Read them honestly in the Museum of Misses.
Cassandria provides descriptive and historical analytics derived from public and licensed sources. Data, scores, bands and dossiers may contain errors, omissions, delays and later revisions. They are not financial, investment, political, security, legal or operational advice, and Cassandria does not recommend any action.