PYTHIA Research Lab — Research Disclaimer
Applies to the forecasting trial published under /laboratory/.
- Experimental. The forecasting trial is an experiment in measuring predictive accuracy. It is research, not a product.
- Not for sale. Forecasts are never sold and are not part of any paid plan or entitlement.
- Not for decisions. Nothing in the trial is advice or a decision-grade signal. Do not act on it.
- Sealed & revealed. Each forecast is cryptographically sealed before the outcome is known, and only revealed and scored publicly after independent resolution. No unresolved forecast value is shown live.
- Public score. Results — hits and misses alike — are published, including in the Museum of Misses.
- May be wrong. The trial exists precisely because forecasting is hard; individual forecasts may be, and often are, wrong.
A research question you submit from the consumer Oracle never returns the forecast to you and does not improve or upgrade your paid plan. Submission is free, requires your explicit consent, and creates a separate sealed record.